Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 7 March (08:00 WAT) to face Avispa Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Vissel Kobe 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.2 for Nagoya Grampus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avispa Fukuoka 35%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Nagoya Grampus39%fair 2.55 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.09Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.17Nagoya Grampus xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 – 1.2 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
39%
2.55
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✓
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.87
–
Form
Avispa Fukuoka – last 3
LLL
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nagoya Grampus 39%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JEF United Chiba2
Kashiwa Reysol1
FC Tokyo3
Yokohama F. Marinos0
Urawa2
Mito Hollyhock0
Kashima2
Tokyo Verdy0