Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos preview and prediction
The match
Yokohama F. Marinos travel to National Olympic Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 7 March (06:00 WAT) to face FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Yokohama F. Marinos sit 7th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for FC Tokyo and 1.0 for Yokohama F. Marinos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 59%, draw 19%, Yokohama F. Marinos 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: FC Tokyo to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.50
Yokohama F. Marinos22%fair 4.65 · @3.90
2.82Expected goals
1.84FC Tokyo xG
0.98Yokohama F. Marinos xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.8 – 1.0 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
59%
1.69
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
FC Tokyo – last 3
LWD
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Kashima
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Yokohama F. Marinos.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Yokohama F. Marinos 22%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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