Value bet: AEA to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTaquaritinga to win44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.01
Taquaritinga vs AEA preview and prediction
The match
AEA travel to face Taquaritinga in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 14 February (19:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Taquaritinga and 0.8 for AEA. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Taquaritinga 44%, draw 24%, AEA 32%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Value angle: AEA to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Taquaritinga 1–0 AEA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Taquaritinga44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.88
AEA32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
1.80Expected goals
1.01Taquaritinga xG
0.79AEA xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Taquaritinga 1.0 – 0.8 AEA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Taquaritinga to win
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
6.01
–
Form
Taquaritinga
No recent results on record.
AEA
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taquaritinga and AEA.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Taquaritinga vs AEA?
On our numbers Taquaritinga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEA 32%.
How many goals will there be in Taquaritinga vs AEA?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taquaritinga vs AEA?
Our predicted score is Taquaritinga 1–0 AEA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Taquaritinga vs AEA?
Taquaritinga vs AEA (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.