Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenapolense to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Penapolense vs ECUS preview and prediction
The match
Penapolense host ECUS in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Penapolense and 0.7 for ECUS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penapolense 60%, draw 22%, ECUS 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Penapolense 1–0 ECUS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penapolense60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
ECUS18%fair 5.56 · @5.00
2.23Expected goals
1.55Penapolense xG
0.68ECUS xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Penapolense 1.6 – 0.7 ECUS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penapolense to win✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Penapolense or draw✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penapolense / FT Penapolense✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Form
Penapolense
No recent results on record.
ECUS
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penapolense and ECUS.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Penapolense vs ECUS?
On our numbers Penapolense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ECUS 18%.
How many goals will there be in Penapolense vs ECUS?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penapolense vs ECUS?
Our predicted score is Penapolense 1–0 ECUS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Penapolense vs ECUS?
Penapolense vs ECUS (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.