Value bet: Barretos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarretos to win56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.81
Barretos vs Tanabi preview and prediction
The match
Tanabi travel to face Barretos in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 14 February (20:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.1 for Barretos and 0.6 for Tanabi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barretos 56%, draw 20%, Tanabi 24%.
Value angle: Barretos to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barretos 1–0 Tanabi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barretos56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.10
Tanabi24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
1.71Expected goals
1.15Barretos xG
0.56Tanabi xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–018%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barretos 1.1 – 0.6 Tanabi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barretos / FT Barretos
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
21%
4.81
–
Form
Barretos
No recent results on record.
Tanabi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barretos and Tanabi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Barretos vs Tanabi?
On our numbers Barretos have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tanabi 24%.
How many goals will there be in Barretos vs Tanabi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barretos vs Tanabi?
Our predicted score is Barretos 1–0 Tanabi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Barretos vs Tanabi?
Barretos vs Tanabi (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Joseense
São Caetano
Taquaritinga
AEA
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Vocem
Nacional SP
Penapolense2
ECUS1