Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: São Caetano to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Caetano to win59% · @1.95
Double chanceSão Caetano or draw82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.33
Joseense vs São Caetano preview and prediction
The match
São Caetano travel to face Joseense in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 14 February (19:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Joseense and 1.6 for São Caetano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Joseense 18%, draw 23%, São Caetano 59%.
Safer route: São Caetano or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: São Caetano to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was São Caetano or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Joseense 0–1 São Caetano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Joseense18%fair 5.54 · @3.65
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
São Caetano59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
2.30Expected goals
0.72Joseense xG
1.58São Caetano xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Joseense 0.7 – 1.6 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Caetano to win
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
São Caetano or draw
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Caetano / FT São Caetano
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
16%
6.33
–
Form
Joseense
No recent results on record.
São Caetano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Joseense and São Caetano.
What is the prediction for Joseense vs São Caetano?
Our pick is São Caetano or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Joseense vs São Caetano?
On our numbers Joseense have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and São Caetano 59%.
How many goals will there be in Joseense vs São Caetano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Joseense vs São Caetano?
Our predicted score is Joseense 0–1 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Joseense vs São Caetano?
Joseense vs São Caetano (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras
Jabaquara
Taquaritinga
AEA
Barretos
Tanabi
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Comercial
EC Lemense
Inter de Bebedouro
Vocem
Nacional SP
Penapolense2
ECUS1