Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorinthians to win ✓50% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.31
São Bernardo vs Corinthians preview and prediction
The match
Corinthians travel to Estádio Primeiro de Maio in the Paulista A1 on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT) to face São Bernardo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for São Bernardo and 1.4 for Corinthians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: São Bernardo 27%, draw 22%, Corinthians 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: São Bernardo 0–1 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
São Bernardo27%fair 3.64 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Corinthians50%fair 1.99 · @1.96
2.32Expected goals
0.93São Bernardo xG
1.40Corinthians xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 0.9 – 1.4 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✓
50%
1.99
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.31
–
Form
São Bernardo
No recent results on record.
Corinthians
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São Bernardo and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Corinthians 50%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 0–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Corinthians?
São Bernardo vs Corinthians (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0