Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo preview and prediction
The match
Sao Paulo travel to Moisés Lucarelli in the Paulista A1 on Monday 16 February (00:30 WAT) to face Ponte Preta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Ponte Preta and 1.9 for Sao Paulo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ponte Preta 12%, draw 19%, Sao Paulo 69%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 0–1 Sao Paulo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte Preta12%fair 8.16 · @12.00
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.55
Sao Paulo69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
2.50Expected goals
0.61Ponte Preta xG
1.89Sao Paulo xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.9 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Sao Paulo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Sao Paulo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Ponte Preta
No recent results on record.
Sao Paulo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Sao Paulo.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sao Paulo 69%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo?
Ponte Preta vs Sao Paulo (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Moisés Lucarelli
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1