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Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Santa Cruz

Botafogo SP vs Capivariano prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Capivariano to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01

Botafogo SP vs Capivariano preview and prediction

The match

The Paulista A1 sees Botafogo SP take on Capivariano on Monday 16 February, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Santa Cruz.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Botafogo SP and 0.9 for Capivariano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Botafogo SP47%fair 2.13 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Capivariano30%fair 3.36 · @3.60
2.18Expected goals
1.26Botafogo SP xG
0.92Capivariano xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.3 – 0.9 Capivariano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotafogo SP to win ✗47%2.132.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.551.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.01–

Form

Botafogo SP

No recent results on record.

Capivariano

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Capivariano.

Botafogo SP vs Capivariano head-to-head page →

More Paulista A1 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?

On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Capivariano 30%.

How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?

Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?

Botafogo SP vs Capivariano (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.