Value angle: Capivariano to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo SP47%fair 2.13 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Capivariano30%fair 3.36 · @3.60
2.18Expected goals
1.26Botafogo SP xG
0.92Capivariano xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.3 – 0.9 Capivariano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✗
47%
2.13
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Form
Botafogo SP
No recent results on record.
Capivariano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Capivariano.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Capivariano 30%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Capivariano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Capivariano?
Botafogo SP vs Capivariano (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.