Value bet: Noroeste to win @ 3.65 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrimavera SP to win ✗38% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Primavera SP vs Noroeste preview and prediction
The match
Primavera SP host Noroeste in the Paulista A1 on Monday 16 February, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Primavera SP and 1.3 for Noroeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Noroeste to win at 3.65 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Primavera SP38%fair 2.61 · @2.08
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.15
Noroeste37%fair 2.69 · @3.65
2.59Expected goals
1.31Primavera SP xG
1.28Noroeste xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Primavera SP 1.3 – 1.3 Noroeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Primavera SP to win✗
38%
2.61
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Primavera SP / FT Primavera SP✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Primavera SP
No recent results on record.
Noroeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primavera SP and Noroeste.
What is the prediction for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
On our numbers Primavera SP have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Noroeste 37%.
How many goals will there be in Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Our predicted score is Primavera SP 1–1 Noroeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Primavera SP vs Noroeste?
Primavera SP vs Noroeste (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio Ítalo Mário Limongi
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Mirassol1
Portuguesa2
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1