Value bet: Mirassol to win @ 1.61 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMirassol to win ✗67% · @1.61
Double chanceMirassol or draw ✗87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Mirassol vs Portuguesa preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A1 sees Mirassol take on Portuguesa on Monday 16 February, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Mirassol and 0.6 for Portuguesa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Mirassol to win at 1.61 – 67% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mirassol 1–0 Portuguesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol67%fair 1.50 · @1.61
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Portuguesa13%fair 7.97 · @5.60
2.31Expected goals
1.74Mirassol xG
0.57Portuguesa xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.7 – 0.6 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win✗
67%
1.50
1.61 ▲
Double chance
Mirassol or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Mirassol ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Mirassol
No recent results on record.
Portuguesa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Portuguesa.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portuguesa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–0 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Portuguesa?
Mirassol vs Portuguesa (Paulista A1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Botafogo SP0
Capivariano1
RB Bragantino3
Novorizontino0
Palmeiras1
Guarani Campinas1
Ponte Preta1
Sao Paulo2
Primavera SP3
Noroeste3
Santos7
Velo Clube0
São Bernardo0
Corinthians1