Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Argentino Quilmes to win @ 2.62 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win45% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.29
Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Quilmes travel to Genacio Salice Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 11 April (19:30 WAT) to face Villa San Carlos. Villa San Carlos are 11th with 51 points from 42 games (in the top half), while Argentino Quilmes sit 17th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villa San Carlos's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Dock Sud 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Real Pilar 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Villa San Carlos and 1.2 for Argentino Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa San Carlos 32%, draw 23%, Argentino Quilmes 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Argentino Quilmes to win at 2.62 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Villa San Carlos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa San Carlos32%fair 3.15 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Argentino Quilmes45%fair 2.23 · @2.62
2.19Expected goals
0.97Villa San Carlos xG
1.22Argentino Quilmes xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Villa San Carlos 1.0 – 1.2 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Quilmes to win
45%
2.23
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Quilmes / FT Argentino Quilmes
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.29
–
Form
Villa San Carlos – last 4
LLDW
23 Mar
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ San Martín Burzaco
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Ituzaingó
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
LDWLLD
29 Mar
@ Real Pilar
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Villa Dalmine
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arsenal Sarandi
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Argentino de Merlo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa San Carlos and Argentino Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers Villa San Carlos have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Argentino Quilmes 45%.
How many goals will there be in Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Villa San Carlos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Villa San Carlos vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Genacio Salice Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.