Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Dalmine to win56% · @1.91
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.85
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Villa Dalmine take on Deportivo Laferrere on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini. Villa Dalmine are 6th with 68 points from 42 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Laferrere sit 10th on 59 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Villa Dalmine's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Brown DE Adrogue 4–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Laferrere's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Talleres Remedios 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Villa Dalmine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Villa Dalmine and 0.7 for Deportivo Laferrere. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Dalmine 56%, draw 25%, Deportivo Laferrere 19%.
Safer route: Villa Dalmine or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Dalmine56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.95
Deportivo Laferrere19%fair 5.29 · @4.10
2.13Expected goals
1.45Villa Dalmine xG
0.69Deportivo Laferrere xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.4 – 0.7 Deportivo Laferrere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Dalmine to win
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Villa Dalmine or draw
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.85
–
Form
Villa Dalmine – last 5
WDDWL
3 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Dock Sud
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Deportivo Merlo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Deportivo Laferrere – last 3
LLD
15 Mar
@ Talleres Remedios
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Argentino Quilmes
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Deportivo Laferrere.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Laferrere 19%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere?
Villa Dalmine vs Deportivo Laferrere (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
