Value bet: Talleres Remedios to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Excursionistas take on Talleres Remedios on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Excursionistas Stadium. Excursionistas are 1st with 81 points from 42 games (top of the table), while Talleres Remedios sit 4th on 71 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Excursionistas's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Talleres Remedios's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Argentino de Merlo 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Excursionistas and 0.7 for Talleres Remedios. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Talleres Remedios to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Excursionistas 0–0 Talleres Remedios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excursionistas43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Talleres Remedios33%fair 3.03 · @3.60
1.67Expected goals
0.92Excursionistas xG
0.75Talleres Remedios xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 0.9 – 0.7 Talleres Remedios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excursionistas to win✗
43%
2.33
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Form
Excursionistas – last 4
WWWW
29 Mar
vs Brown DE Adrogue
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Defensores Unidos
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Dock Sud
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Merlo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Talleres Remedios – last 6
WDWWWD
29 Mar
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Ituzaingó
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Deportivo Laferrere
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Armenio
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Argentino Quilmes
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Defensores Unidos
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excursionistas and Talleres Remedios.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Talleres Remedios 33%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 0–0 Talleres Remedios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios?
Excursionistas vs Talleres Remedios (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
