San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín Burzaco to win58% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Martín Burzaco or draw83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.66
San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos preview and prediction
The match
San Martín Burzaco host Defensores Unidos in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Francisco Boga Stadium. San Martín Burzaco are 12th with 51 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Defensores Unidos sit 19th on 46 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Comunicaciones 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Defensores Unidos's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Liniers 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Martín Burzaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for San Martín Burzaco and 0.6 for Defensores Unidos. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Burzaco 58%, draw 25%, Defensores Unidos 17%.
Safer route: San Martín Burzaco or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Defensores Unidos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Burzaco58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Defensores Unidos17%fair 5.92 · @4.20
2.13Expected goals
1.48San Martín Burzaco xG
0.64Defensores Unidos xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.5 – 0.6 Defensores Unidos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Martín Burzaco or draw
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín Burzaco / FT San Martín Burzaco
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.66
–
Form
San Martín Burzaco – last 5
WDWDD
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Ituzaingó
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Villa San Carlos
3–3
D
22 Feb
@ Liniers
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Defensores Unidos – last 5
DDLDD
29 Mar
@ Liniers
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ UAI Urquiza
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Excursionistas
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Arsenal Sarandi
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Defensores Unidos.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Defensores Unidos 17%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–0 Defensores Unidos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos?
San Martín Burzaco vs Defensores Unidos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
