Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSportivo Italiano to win60% · @1.95

Double chanceSportivo Italiano or draw81% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.48

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.38

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 4.91

Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones preview and prediction

The match

The Primera B Metropolitana sees Sportivo Italiano take on Comunicaciones on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Republica de Italia Stadium. Sportivo Italiano are 3rd with 72 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Comunicaciones sit 9th on 60 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sportivo Italiano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dock Sud 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Comunicaciones's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to San Martín Burzaco 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sportivo Italiano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.4.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.5 for Comunicaciones. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Sportivo Italiano 60%, draw 22%, Comunicaciones 19%.
Safer route: Sportivo Italiano or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sportivo Italiano to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Comunicaciones. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sportivo Italiano60%fair 1.67 · @1.95

Draw22%fair 4.64 · @2.95

Comunicaciones19%fair 5.34 · @3.90

1.88Expected goals

1.33Sportivo Italiano xG

0.55Comunicaciones xG

48%Both score

31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–020%

0–015%

2–014%

1–111%

0–18%

2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.3 – 0.5 Comunicaciones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sportivo Italiano to win	60%	1.67	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Sportivo Italiano or draw	81%	1.23	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	52%	1.92	1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	57%	1.76	1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	88%	1.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	50%	2.00	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sportivo Italiano / FT Sportivo Italiano	33%	3.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	20%	4.91	–

Form

Sportivo Italiano – last 6

WWDWWW

5 Apr	@ Dock Sud	3–1	W
29 Mar	vs Deportivo Merlo	2–1	W
15 Mar	vs Ituzaingó	0–0	D
3 Mar	@ Villa San Carlos	1–0	W
27 Feb	vs Liniers	2–1	W
22 Feb	@ Real Pilar	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Comunicaciones – last 5

LWLDW

5 Apr	vs San Martín Burzaco	0–1	L
24 Mar	vs Liniers	2–0	W
16 Mar	@ Real Pilar	0–2	L
4 Mar	@ Villa Dalmine	0–0	D
16 Feb	vs Argentino de Merlo	1–0	W

0.6Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?

Our pick is Sportivo Italiano to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?

On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Comunicaciones 19%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Comunicaciones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones?

Sportivo Italiano vs Comunicaciones (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes