Value bet: Colon Santa Fe to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Ciudad de Bolívar host Colon Santa Fe in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron. Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Colon Santa Fe sit 5th on 60 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat San Miguel 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colon Santa Fe's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Almirante Brown 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ciudad de Bolívar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Colon Santa Fe 0–0 Ciudad de Bolívar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Ciudad de Bolívar and 0.9 for Colon Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ciudad de Bolívar 38%, draw 28%, Colon Santa Fe 35%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Colon Santa Fe to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Colon Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciudad de Bolívar38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.60
Colon Santa Fe35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
1.87Expected goals
0.96Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.91Colon Santa Fe xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 1.0 – 0.9 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Colon Santa Fe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.