Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio de ColegialesColegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction & analysis
Colegiales to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.3 – 0.5 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Colegiales hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 17% for Atletico DE Rafaela.
Colegiales have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Atletico DE Rafaela have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded. Colegiales come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for Colegiales, 0.5 for Atletico DE Rafaela). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, Colegiales have won 0, Atletico DE Rafaela have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Colegiales to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.74.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colegiales to win ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Colegiales or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales ✗ | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 4.93 | – |
Form
Colegiales – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Agropecuario | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Club Atlético Güemes | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Chacarita Juniors | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ San Martin S.J. | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | W |
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Midland | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Atlanta | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs San Martin Tucuman | 4–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Jun 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela v Colegiales | 1–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
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Godoy Cruz3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Colegiales to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico DE Rafaela 17%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.