Primera Nacional · ArgentinaPatronato vs Agropecuario prediction & analysis
Patronato to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Patronato 1.4 – 0.5 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Patronato are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Agropecuario.
Patronato have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Agropecuario have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.4 for Patronato, 0.5 for Agropecuario). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (22%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (15%).
In their last 1 meeting, Patronato have won 0, Agropecuario have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Patronato to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Patronato to win ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Patronato or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Patronato / FT Patronato ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 22% | 4.57 | – |
Form
Patronato – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Tristan Suarez | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs San Martin S.J. | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Nueva Chicago | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Temperley | 0–0 | D |
Agropecuario – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Colegiales | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Midland | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Atlanta | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ San Martin Tucuman | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 7 Jun 2026 | Agropecuario v Patronato | 1–1 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hub
Ciudad de Bolívar0
Colon Santa Fe2
Almirante Brown1
Deportivo Moron0
CA Estudiantes1
Los Andes1
Atletico Mitre0
Godoy Cruz3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Patronato vs Agropecuario?
Our pick is Patronato to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Patronato vs Agropecuario?
On our numbers Patronato have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Agropecuario 15%.
How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Agropecuario?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Patronato vs Agropecuario?
Patronato vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.