Primera Nacional · Argentina · Stadion Omar Higinio SperduttiDeportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction & analysis
Deportivo Maipu to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.9 – 0.4 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Maipu are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 8% for Club Atlético Güemes.
Deportivo Maipu have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Club Atlético Güemes have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Deportivo Maipu come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.9 for Deportivo Maipu, 0.4 for Club Atlético Güemes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (18%), 3–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Deportivo Maipu have won 0, Club Atlético Güemes have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Deportivo Maipu to win at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Maipu to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | Deportivo Maipu or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Deportivo Maipu ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.22 | – |
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs San Martin S.J. | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Oct | @ Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Temperley | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Almagro | 2–2 | D |
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Almagro | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Patronato | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Colegiales | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Quilmes | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Midland | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Atlanta | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 7 Jun 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes v Deportivo Maipu | 1–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
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Godoy Cruz3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Deportivo Maipu to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Club Atlético Güemes 8%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.