Temperley vs Chacarita Juniors prediction & analysis

Temperley are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 11% for Chacarita Juniors.

Temperley have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Chacarita Juniors have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 1.9 goals (1.5 for Temperley, 0.4 for Chacarita Juniors). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (22%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (15%).

In their last 1 meeting, Temperley have won 1, Chacarita Juniors have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Temperley or draw at a 89% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Temperley to win at 1.95 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).