Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuilmes to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.14
Quilmes vs San Telmo preview and prediction
The match
San Telmo travel to Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 15 August (23:00 WAT) to face Quilmes. Quilmes are 13th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Quilmes's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Almagro 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
San Telmo's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Colon Santa Fe 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished San Telmo 0–3 Quilmes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Quilmes and 0.5 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Quilmes 63%, draw 25%, San Telmo 12%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Quilmes 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quilmes63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.30
San Telmo12%fair 8.10 · @6.25
2.08Expected goals
1.56Quilmes xG
0.52San Telmo xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.6 – 0.5 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Quilmes vs San Telmo?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Telmo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs San Telmo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs San Telmo?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs San Telmo?
Quilmes vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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