Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 15 Aug 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✗38% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.45

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano preview and prediction

The match

Atletico DE Rafaela host Defensores De Belgrano in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th on 39 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Defensores De Belgrano's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Atletico Mitre 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 March 2026, finished Defensores De Belgrano 1–1 Atletico DE Rafaela.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.8 for Defensores De Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Atletico DE Rafaela 38%, draw 29%, Defensores De Belgrano 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.45.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Atletico DE Rafaela38%fair 2.61 · @2.60

Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.55

Defensores De Belgrano33%fair 3.02 · @3.10

1.70Expected goals

0.90Atletico DE Rafaela xG

0.80Defensores De Belgrano xG

47%Both score

26%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–018%

1–016%

0–115%

1–113%

2–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 – 0.8 Defensores De Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico DE Rafaela to win ✗	38%	2.61	2.60
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	71%	1.40	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	52%	1.94	1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	54%	1.85	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	26%	3.86	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.10	–

Form

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

WDWLLL

8 Aug	vs Chacarita Juniors	1–0	W
1 Aug	@ San Martin S.J.	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Nueva Chicago	1–0	W
18 Jul	@ Temperley	0–2	L
11 Jul	vs Deportivo Maipu	1–3	L
4 Jul	@ Almagro	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Defensores De Belgrano – last 6

LDDLWL

9 Aug	@ Atletico Mitre	1–2	L
1 Aug	vs CA Estudiantes	1–1	D
26 Jul	@ All Boys	0–0	D
12 Jul	@ Godoy Cruz	0–1	L
4 Jul	vs Deportivo Moron	2–1	W
21 Jun	vs All Boys	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Defensores De Belgrano 33%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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