Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Aurinegro
Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction & analysis
Atletico Mitre to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.7 – 0.6 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Atletico Mitre are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Club Atlético Güemes.
Atletico Mitre have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Club Atlético Güemes have 0 points from their last 6 (0W 0D 6L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Atletico Mitre come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Atletico Mitre, 0.6 for Club Atlético Güemes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Atletico Mitre have won 0, Club Atlético Güemes have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Atletico Mitre to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.77 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Mitre to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.77 ▲ |
| Double chance | Atletico Mitre or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atletico Mitre / FT Atletico Mitre ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.84 | – |
Form
Atletico Mitre – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs Defensores De Belgrano | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Ciudad de Bolívar | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | vs Almirante Brown | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Jul | vs Racing Cordoba | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ CA Estudiantes | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Jul | vs All Boys | 1–1 | D |
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Agropecuario | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Aug | vs Tristan Suarez | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | vs San Martin S.J. | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Jul | @ Nueva Chicago | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes v Atletico Mitre | 2–2 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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Quilmes3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Atletico Mitre to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club Atlético Güemes 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.