Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta prediction & analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.6 – 0.5 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Atlanta.
Ferro Carril Oeste have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Atlanta have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Ferro Carril Oeste come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Ferro Carril Oeste, 0.5 for Atlanta). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ferro Carril Oeste to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ferro Carril Oeste or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.09 | – |
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ Los Andes | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Godoy Cruz | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Deportivo Moron | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Jul | vs Colon Santa Fe | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | @ San Miguel | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs San Telmo | 2–1 | W |
Atlanta – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs Temperley | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Deportivo Maipu | 2–4 | L |
| 28 Jul | vs Almagro | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jul | vs Colegiales | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | @ Quilmes | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jun | @ Almagro | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Atlanta.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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Quilmes3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlanta 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.