Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Value bet: CA Estudiantes to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CA Estudiantes 1.3 – 0.5 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CA Estudiantes hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 16% for Chacarita Juniors.
CA Estudiantes have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Chacarita Juniors have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.3 for CA Estudiantes, 0.5 for Chacarita Juniors). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (21%), 0–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%).
In their last 1 meeting, CA Estudiantes have won 1, Chacarita Juniors have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.39. For a bigger price, CA Estudiantes to win at 1.83 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CA Estudiantes to win ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.83 ▲ |
| Double chance | CA Estudiantes or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CA Estudiantes / FT CA Estudiantes ✗ | 33% | 3.00 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 21% | 4.67 | – |
Form
CA Estudiantes – last 6
| 8 Aug | vs Deportivo Madryn | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Defensores De Belgrano | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Ciudad de Bolívar | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | @ Almirante Brown | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jul | vs Atletico Mitre | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs Racing Cordoba | 1–1 | D |
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Atletico DE Rafaela | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Agropecuario | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Tristan Suarez | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | @ Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jul | @ San Martin S.J. | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Tristan Suarez | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 29 Mar 2026 | Chacarita Juniors v CA Estudiantes | 0–3 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hub
Atletico DE Rafaela0
Agropecuario1
Almagro0
Atlanta1
Club Atlético Güemes1
Patronato0
Deportivo Maipu2
Quilmes3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers CA Estudiantes have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chacarita Juniors 16%.
How many goals will there be in CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors?
CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.