Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron vs Almagro prediction & analysis
Deportivo Moron to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.6 – 0.6 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Deportivo Moron are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Almagro.
Deportivo Moron have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Almagro have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Deportivo Moron, 0.6 for Almagro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Moron to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Double chance | Deportivo Moron or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.57 | – |
Form
Deportivo Moron – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs Acassuso | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Chaco For Ever | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Ferro Carril Oeste | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Jul | vs Deportivo Madryn | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Jul | @ Defensores De Belgrano | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jun | @ Ferro Carril Oeste | 0–1 | L |
Almagro – last 6
| 9 Aug | @ Quilmes | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Midland | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jul | @ Atlanta | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | @ San Martin Tucuman | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Jul | vs Atletico DE Rafaela | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Almagro.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
More Primera Nacional predictions
League hub
Atletico DE Rafaela0
Agropecuario1
Atlanta1
Club Atlético Güemes1
Patronato0
Deportivo Maipu2
Chacarita Juniors0
Quilmes3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almagro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Almagro?
Deportivo Moron vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.