Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.47
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Ciudad de Bolívar take on Ferro Carril Oeste on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron. Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Agropecuario 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ferro Carril Oeste's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Almirante Brown 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Ciudad de Bolívar and 0.7 for Ferro Carril Oeste. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ciudad de Bolívar 42%, draw 26%, Ferro Carril Oeste 32%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciudad de Bolívar42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.62
Ferro Carril Oeste32%fair 3.08 · @3.20
1.54Expected goals
0.85Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.69Ferro Carril Oeste xG
43%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–018%
0–115%
1–113%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 – 0.7 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Bolívar to win
42%
2.38
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.47
–
Form
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 4
DDLD
27 Mar
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Los Andes
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ River Plate
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 3
LLD
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Bolívar and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ferro Carril Oeste 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.