Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28
7/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Chaco For Ever to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmirante Brown to win44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.12
Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever preview and prediction
The match
Chaco For Ever travel to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 3 May (19:30 WAT) to face Almirante Brown. Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Chaco For Ever sit 9th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Almirante Brown's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chaco For Ever's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Los Andes 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Almirante Brown arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Almirante Brown and 0.8 for Chaco For Ever. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almirante Brown 44%, draw 25%, Chaco For Ever 30%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Chaco For Ever to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Almirante Brown 1–0 Chaco For Ever. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almirante Brown44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.65
Chaco For Ever30%fair 3.31 · @3.80
1.88Expected goals
1.07Almirante Brown xG
0.81Chaco For Ever xG
49%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.1 – 0.8 Chaco For Ever expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almirante Brown to win
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almirante Brown / FT Almirante Brown
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.12
–
Form
Almirante Brown – last 6
WLLWWD
28 Apr
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Defensores De Belgrano
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chaco For Ever – last 5
LLLDD
5 Apr
@ Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs San Telmo
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Chaco For Ever.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chaco For Ever 30%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 1–0 Chaco For Ever, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever?
Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.