Value bet: Temperley to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTemperley to win41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 6.00
Almagro vs Temperley preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Almagro take on Temperley on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tres de Febrero. Almagro are 15th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Temperley sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almagro's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Midland 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Temperley's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Los Andes 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Temperley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Almagro and 0.9 for Temperley. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Temperley to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Almagro 0–0 Temperley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almagro33%fair 3.02 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.60
Temperley41%fair 2.43 · @2.90
1.72Expected goals
0.79Almagro xG
0.93Temperley xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Almagro 0.8 – 0.9 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Temperley to win
41%
2.43
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
6.00
–
Form
Almagro – last 3
DLD
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Temperley – last 4
WDLW
29 Mar
@ Los Andes
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Agropecuario
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Temperley.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Almagro vs Temperley?
On our numbers Almagro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Temperley 41%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Temperley?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Temperley?
Our predicted score is Almagro 0–0 Temperley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Temperley?
Almagro vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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