Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.67
Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
Atlanta host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with San Martin Tucuman 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Atlanta and 0.7 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 44%, draw 27%, Tristan Suarez 28%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta44%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.45
Tristan Suarez28%fair 3.52 · @4.75
1.76Expected goals
1.03Atlanta xG
0.73Tristan Suarez xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.0 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win
44%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.42
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.67
–
Form
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWD
21 Apr
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 5
DDLWW
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tristan Suarez 28%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez?
Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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