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Today's tips
USL Championship · USA · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Phoenix Rising

LWDWL
2–0
FT

Sacramento Republic

LWWWD

Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.88

Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees Phoenix Rising take on Sacramento Republic on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Phoenix Rising's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Sacramento Republic's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to San Antonio 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Sacramento Republic 2–0 Phoenix Rising.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Phoenix Rising and 1.3 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Phoenix Rising35%fair 2.83 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Sacramento Republic41%fair 2.46 · @2.33
2.42Expected goals
1.15Phoenix Rising xG
1.26Sacramento Republic xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.2 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✗41%2.462.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.88–

Form

Phoenix Rising – last 6

LWDWLW
24 May@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–3L
17 Mayvs Orange County SC2–1W
10 Mayvs San Antonio1–1D
3 May@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0W
26 Aprvs Colorado Springs0–1L
19 Apr@ Miami FC3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

LWWWDD
24 May@ San Antonio1–2L
17 May@ Oakland Roots1–0W
3 Mayvs Orange County SC3–2W
26 Aprvs Spokane Velocity4–0W
22 Apr@ Brooklyn1–1D
12 Apr@ Las Vegas Lights1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Sacramento Republic v Phoenix Rising2–0
Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub
FT Hartford Athletic0 New Mexico United0 160%1.85X22%3.50218%3.55 1XHartford Athletic or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Indy Eleven1 Rhode Island0 139%2.55X23%3.45239%2.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Louisville City0 Tampa Bay Rowdies2 158%1.85X22%3.50220%3.55 1XLouisville City or draw 80%@1.20 ✗
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds2 Miami FC0 159%1.67X19%3.65223%4.40 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Oakland Roots0 Colorado Springs1 138%2.38X22%3.50239%2.55 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✗
FT El Paso Locomotive1 Lexington4 145%2.15X21%3.40234%3.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Monterey Bay4 Loudoun United1 138%2.35X23%3.45240%2.60 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Las Vegas Lights0 FC Tulsa0 135%2.50X21%3.30244%2.50 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sacramento Republic 41%.

How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic?

Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.