El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees El Paso Locomotive take on Lexington on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Lexington sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Alta 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lexington's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Indy Eleven 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.4 for Lexington. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 21%, Lexington 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Lexington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Lexington34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
3.10Expected goals
1.68El Paso Locomotive xG
1.42Lexington xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.7 – 1.4 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WLDLWL
28 May
vs Alta
2–0
W
10 May
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
7 May
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
30 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
1–4
L
26 Apr
@ Orange County SC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs San Antonio
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
LWLWDL
24 May
@ Indy Eleven
1–3
L
9 May
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
3 May
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Forward Madison
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ Orange County SC
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Rhode Island
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Lexington.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lexington 34%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington?
El Paso Locomotive vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hartford Athletic0
Indy Eleven1
Rhode Island0
Louisville City0
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Pittsburgh Riverhounds2
Miami FC0
Loudoun United1