Value bet: FC Tulsa to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tulsa to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa preview and prediction
The match
Las Vegas Lights host FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Cashman Field. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while FC Tulsa sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Colorado Springs 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Tulsa's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Hartford Athletic 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Tulsa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished FC Tulsa 3–2 Las Vegas Lights.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.5 for FC Tulsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Vegas Lights 35%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: FC Tulsa to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 FC Tulsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Vegas Lights35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
FC Tulsa44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.84Expected goals
1.32Las Vegas Lights xG
1.52FC Tulsa xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.3 – 1.5 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tulsa 44%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa?
Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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