Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRhode Island to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island preview and prediction
The match
Rhode Island travel to Michael A. Carroll Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 31 May (00:00 WAT) to face Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Lexington 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rhode Island's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Brooklyn 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Indy Eleven and 1.5 for Rhode Island. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Indy Eleven 39%, draw 23%, Rhode Island 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–1 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven39%fair 2.59 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Rhode Island39%fair 2.58 · @2.40
2.99Expected goals
1.49Indy Eleven xG
1.50Rhode Island xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.5 – 1.5 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
39%
2.58
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.88
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 6
WWLLWD
24 May
vs Lexington
3–1
W
10 May
vs Sporting JAX
2–1
W
3 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rhode Island – last 6
WDLDWW
24 May
vs Brooklyn
4–1
W
10 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
3 May
vs Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Lexington
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Rhode Island.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rhode Island 39%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island?
Indy Eleven vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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