Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Hartford Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
New Mexico United travel to Trinity Health Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 31 May (00:00 WAT) to face Hartford Athletic. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while New Mexico United sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Hartford Athletic's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New Mexico United's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Charleston Battery 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Hartford Athletic and 0.8 for New Mexico United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hartford Athletic 60%, draw 22%, New Mexico United 18%.
Safer route: Hartford Athletic or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hartford Athletic or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1–0 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartford Athletic60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
New Mexico United18%fair 5.64 · @3.55
2.60Expected goals
1.77Hartford Athletic xG
0.83New Mexico United xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.8 – 0.8 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Hartford Athletic or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Half-time result
Hartford Athletic ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Hartford Athletic – last 6
LWWDDL
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
10 May
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Rhode Island
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Loudoun United
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 6
WLLWDW
24 May
vs Charleston Battery
1–0
W
21 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
17 May
@ Colorado Springs
0–4
L
10 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–1
W
7 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Alta
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Hartford Athletic or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and New Mexico United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United?
Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oakland Roots0
Colorado Springs1
El Paso Locomotive1
Lexington4
Monterey Bay4
Las Vegas Lights0
FC Tulsa0
Phoenix Rising2
Sacramento Republic0