Rhode Island travel to Toyota Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT) to face Lexington. Lexington are 4th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lexington's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Louisville City 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rhode Island's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Hartford Athletic 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rhode Island arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Lexington and 1.0 for Rhode Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lexington 49%, draw 22%, Rhode Island 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Lexington 1–1 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Rhode Island29%fair 3.40 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.43Lexington xG
1.02Rhode Island xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.4 – 1.0 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✗
49%
2.05
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Lexington – last 6
LLWWDL
2 Apr
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ San Antonio
0–2
L
26 Mar
vs Brooklyn
3–0
W
20 Mar
vs Flower City Union
9–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs Louisville City
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rhode Island – last 3
WLW
2 Apr
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Miami FC
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Faialense
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Rhode Island.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lexington vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Lexington have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rhode Island 29%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Rhode Island?
Lexington vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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