FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 12 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Tulsa to win ✗63% · @1.80

Double chanceFC Tulsa or draw ✗82% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.79

FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC preview and prediction

The match

FC Tulsa host Orange County SC in the USL Championship on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at ONEOK Field. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

FC Tulsa's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with San Antonio 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Orange County SC's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat San Antonio 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Orange County SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for FC Tulsa and 0.6 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: FC Tulsa 63%, draw 19%, Orange County SC 18%.
Safer route: FC Tulsa or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: FC Tulsa to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Tulsa63%fair 1.60 · @1.80

Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.40

Orange County SC18%fair 5.55 · @3.95

2.20Expected goals

1.56FC Tulsa xG

0.64Orange County SC xG

54%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%

2–013%

1–111%

0–011%

2–19%

0–17%

From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.6 – 0.6 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Tulsa to win ✗	63%	1.60	1.80 ▲
Double chance	FC Tulsa or draw ✗	82%	1.22	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.85	1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.30
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Tulsa / FT FC Tulsa ✗	36%	2.75	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	17%	5.79	–

Form

FC Tulsa – last 6

DDWWDL

2 Apr	@ San Antonio	0–0	D
29 Mar	vs Phoenix Rising	1–1	D
22 Mar	vs Las Vegas Lights	3–2	W
19 Mar	@ Little Rock Rangers	4–2	W
15 Mar	vs San Antonio	0–0	D
8 Mar	@ Sacramento Republic	0–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

WLDWWW

9 Apr	vs San Antonio	2–0	W
5 Apr	vs New Mexico United	0–1	L
2 Apr	vs Phoenix Rising	1–1	D
29 Mar	@ Oakland Roots	1–0	W
22 Mar	vs Colorado Springs	1–0	W
19 Mar	vs Laguna United	3–0	W

1.3Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	15	7	8	+11	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	13	12	5	+14	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	15	5	10	+10	50
4	Lexington	30	14	6	10	+18	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	13	8	9	+6	47
6	San Antonio	30	11	12	7	+2	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	11	10	9	+3	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	10	10	10	-1	40
9	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	-10	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	9	11	10	-1	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	10	6	14	-7	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	6	6	18	-20	24

Team

Pts

+11

+14

+10

+18

-1

-10

-1

-7

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Orange County SC 18%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC?

FC Tulsa vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes