Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Hartford Athletic take on El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Trinity Health Stadium. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hartford Athletic's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Rhode Island 0–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hartford Athletic and 1.3 for El Paso Locomotive. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: El Paso Locomotive to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartford Athletic40%fair 2.49 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
El Paso Locomotive37%fair 2.69 · @3.20
2.73Expected goals
1.40Hartford Athletic xG
1.33El Paso Locomotive xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 1.3 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
40%
2.49
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Hartford Athletic – last 5
LWWDW
2 Apr
@ Rhode Island
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Brooklyn
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ FC Motown
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Laredo Heat
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Colorado Springs
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and El Paso Locomotive.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and El Paso Locomotive 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive?
Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Monterey Bay1
Lexington1
Oakland Roots2
FC Tulsa0
Orange County SC1
San Antonio0
Phoenix Rising3
New Mexico United0
Las Vegas Lights1
Sacramento Republic1