Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to Hodges Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 5 April (00:30 WAT) to face Sporting JAX. Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 47 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting JAX's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Loudoun United 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Sporting JAX and 2.2 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting JAX 20%, draw 21%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 59%.
Safer route: Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting JAX 1–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting JAX20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Tampa Bay Rowdies59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
3.43Expected goals
1.22Sporting JAX xG
2.21Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.2 – 2.2 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Sporting JAX – last 3
LLL
29 Mar
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Miami FC
2–4
L
8 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 4
WWWW
29 Mar
vs Loudoun United
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Naples
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Sporting JAX vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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