Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to Michael A. Carroll Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 5 April (00:00 WAT) to face Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Union Omaha 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Virginia Dream 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Indy Eleven and 1.7 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven38%fair 2.62 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
3.43Expected goals
1.72Indy Eleven xG
1.71Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.7 – 1.7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
38%
2.62
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.18
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 3
LWW
1 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Des Moines Menace
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWWLLW
1 Apr
vs Virginia Dream
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sporting JAX
3–2
W
26 Mar
vs Steel City
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 38%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Paso Locomotive3
Las Vegas Lights2
Monterey Bay0
San Antonio0
Orange County SC0
New Mexico United1
Sacramento Republic2
Phoenix Rising0