Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: San Antonio to win @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Antonio to win ✗52% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Monterey Bay vs San Antonio preview and prediction
The match
Monterey Bay host San Antonio in the USL Championship on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while San Antonio sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Las Vegas Lights 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
San Antonio's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with FC Tulsa 0–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Antonio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Monterey Bay and 1.3 for San Antonio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 25%, draw 23%, San Antonio 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.80.
Value angle: San Antonio to win at 2.38 – 52% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 0–1 San Antonio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay25%fair 4.01 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
San Antonio52%fair 1.93 · @2.38
2.02Expected goals
0.75Monterey Bay xG
1.27San Antonio xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–013%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 0.8 – 1.3 San Antonio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Antonio to win✗
52%
1.93
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Antonio / FT San Antonio✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
Monterey Bay – last 4
LDLL
29 Mar
@ Las Vegas Lights
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
San Antonio – last 6
DWWWDW
2 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Lexington
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs New Mexico United
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs New Stars
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Phoenix Rising
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and San Antonio.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Antonio 52%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 0–1 San Antonio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs San Antonio?
Monterey Bay vs San Antonio (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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