San Antonio vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
San Antonio host New Mexico United in the USL Championship on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Field. San Antonio are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while New Mexico United sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table).
Form guide
San Antonio's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat New Stars 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for San Antonio and 1.1 for New Mexico United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Antonio 41%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: San Antonio 1–1 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Antonio41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
New Mexico United35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
2.29Expected goals
1.20San Antonio xG
1.08New Mexico United xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.2 – 1.1 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Antonio to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Antonio / FT San Antonio✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
San Antonio – last 3
WDW
19 Mar
vs New Stars
6–0
W
15 Mar
@ FC Tulsa
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Phoenix Rising
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 2
WL
19 Mar
vs Cruizers
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New Mexico United 35%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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