Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction
The match
Phoenix Rising host Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Phoenix Rising's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat San Ramon 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Phoenix Rising and 1.2 for Oakland Roots. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phoenix Rising40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Oakland Roots36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.25Phoenix Rising xG
1.17Oakland Roots xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.3 – 1.2 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✗
40%
2.50
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.04
–
Form
Phoenix Rising – last 3
WDL
18 Mar
vs San Ramon
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oakland Roots – last 2
WW
15 Mar
vs New Mexico United
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phoenix Rising and Oakland Roots.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oakland Roots 36%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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