FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
FC Tulsa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tulsa to win ✓68% · @1.62
Double chanceFC Tulsa or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Las Vegas Lights travel to ONEOK Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 22 March (01:00 WAT) to face FC Tulsa. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Little Rock Rangers 4–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for FC Tulsa and 0.6 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 68%, draw 21%, Las Vegas Lights 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tulsa to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa68%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Las Vegas Lights11%fair 9.18 · @4.80
2.43Expected goals
1.85FC Tulsa xG
0.58Las Vegas Lights xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.8 – 0.6 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tulsa to win✓
68%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Double chance
FC Tulsa or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
FC Tulsa ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tulsa / FT FC Tulsa✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.14
–
Form
FC Tulsa – last 3
WDL
19 Mar
@ Little Rock Rangers
4–2
W
15 Mar
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 1
D
8 Mar
@ Orange County SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is FC Tulsa to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Las Vegas Lights 11%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?
FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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