Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleston Battery to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceCharleston Battery or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30
Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Charleston Battery take on Birmingham Legion on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Patriots Point Soccer Complex. Charleston Battery are 2nd with 53 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Charleston Battery and 0.6 for Birmingham Legion. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charleston Battery 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charleston Battery62%fair 1.60 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
Birmingham Legion14%fair 6.92 · @6.00
2.10Expected goals
1.54Charleston Battery xG
0.56Birmingham Legion xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charleston Battery 1.5 – 0.6 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleston Battery to win✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Double chance
Charleston Battery or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.42 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleston Battery / FT Charleston Battery✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.30
–
Form
Charleston Battery – last 2
WW
18 Mar
vs Florida Badgers
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 2
DL
11 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleston Battery and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Charleston Battery have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham Legion 14%.
How many goals will there be in Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Charleston Battery 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?
Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Patriots Point Soccer Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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