Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to Al Lang Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 22 March (00:30 WAT) to face Tampa Bay Rowdies. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.3 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 39%, draw 24%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Pittsburgh Riverhounds37%fair 2.72 · @3.10
2.74Expected goals
1.40Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
1.35Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.4 – 1.3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✓
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.12
–
Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 2
WW
8 Mar
@ Birmingham Legion
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Naples
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 2
LW
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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