Fluminense travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October (21:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Fluminense sit 4th on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Santos 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Fluminense's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Coritiba 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Fluminense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Flamengo to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Fluminense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.20
Fluminense8%fair 11.79 · @6.50
2.86Expected goals
2.16Flamengo xG
0.70Fluminense xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.7 Fluminense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Flamengo – last 6
DWDWWW
8 Oct
@ Santos
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs RB Bragantino
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs Independiente del Valle
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Remo
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fluminense – last 6
WWLLWW
9 Oct
vs Coritiba
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Corinthians
3–1
W
15 Sep
@ Platense
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Platense
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Fluminense.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Our pick is Flamengo to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flamengo vs Fluminense?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense 8%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Fluminense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Fluminense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Flamengo vs Fluminense (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
