Serie A · Brazil · Arena do GrêmioGremio vs Internacional prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gremio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gremio 1.2 – 1.2 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gremio and Internacional on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gremio have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Internacional have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Gremio, 1.2 for Internacional). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).
In their last 3 meetings, Gremio have won 1, Internacional have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.72. For a bigger price, Gremio to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Internacional to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Internacional / FT Internacional ✗ | 21% | 4.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.04 | – |
Form
Gremio – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Remo | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Palmeiras | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Botafogo | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Vasco DA Gama | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Vitoria | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Internacional | 3–1 | W |
Internacional – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Santos | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Gremio | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Bahia | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Sep 2026 | Gremio v Internacional | 3–1 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Internacional v Gremio | 0–0 |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Internacional v Gremio | 0–0 |
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | -35 | 21 |
More Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?
On our numbers Gremio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Internacional 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Gremio vs Internacional?
Gremio vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.