Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✓73% · @1.21
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓14% · fair 7.06
Flamengo vs Vitoria preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Flamengo take on Vitoria on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Vitoria sit 15th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Internacional 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Vitoria's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Atletico Paranaense 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 May 2026, finished Vitoria 2–0 Flamengo. Across their last 2 meetings Flamengo have won 1, Vitoria 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Flamengo and 0.6 for Vitoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flamengo 73%, draw 18%, Vitoria 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo73%fair 1.38 · @1.21
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @5.70
Vitoria9%fair 10.79 · @14.50
2.83Expected goals
2.19Flamengo xG
0.64Vitoria xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.2 – 0.6 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Flamengo vs Vitoria?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Vitoria 9%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Vitoria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Flamengo vs Vitoria (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
